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...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS AND COASTAL HAZARDS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN UP ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THE LOW
AN INCREASING MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
THIS INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE
ADJACENT GULF WATERS. THESE BUILDING SEAS WILL GENERATE LARGE
BREAKING WAVES...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG AREA
BEACHES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TIDES CAUSING
SOME COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND INCREASING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS...AND
MARINERS...FISHERMEN...AND BOATING ENTHUSIASTS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE
TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE IN THE WEEK.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
ON WEDNESDAY A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST DURING
THE DAY. AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES TOWARD WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. CURRENT TIMING OF THIS FRONT WOULD BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE NATURE COAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING SOUTH TOWARD THE TAMPA
BAY AREA BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AT THE CURRENT TIME SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
STRONG PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION...ESPECIALLY FROM THE BAY AREA NORTH
THROUGH THE NATURE COAST...WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES AND MARINE WATERSPOUTS. IN ADDITION
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ACCOMPANY
THE STORMS.

ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.