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...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AHEAD OF AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE
AREA OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE STRONG WIND FLOW
AND INCREASING SEAS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH LARGE BREAKING WAVE ACTION
POSSIBLY PRODUCING ADDITIONAL OVERWASH AND FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS.

AT THE CURRENT TIME TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN SOME 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. COASTAL
RESIDENTS SHOULD REVIEW EVACUATION PLANS...AND BE READY TO MOVE AT
A MOMENT S NOTICE...SHOULD ACTION BE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF COASTAL
FLOODING.

...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS AND COASTAL HAZARDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN UP TOWARDS THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THE LOW
AN INCREASING MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF
WATERS. THESE BUILDING SEAS WILL GENERATE LARGE BREAKING
WAVES...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG AREA BEACHES
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TIDES CAUSING SOME
COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND INCREASING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS...AND
MARINERS...FISHERMEN...AND BOATING ENTHUSIASTS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE
TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE IN THE WEEK.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES TOWARD WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. CURRENT TIMING OF THIS FRONT WOULD BRING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE NATURE COAST BY LATE
WEDNESDAY...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING SOUTH TOWARD THE TAMPA
BAY AREA BY EARLY TO MID MORNING ON THURSDAY...AND THEN ACROSS
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

AT THE CURRENT TIME SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
STRONG PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION...ESPECIALLY FROM THE BAY AREA NORTH
THROUGH THE NATURE COAST...WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS. IN
ADDITION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STORMS.

ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.