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...A WINTRY MIX OF WEATHER WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND
FAR WEST TEXAS FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND...

A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM
THE WEST DURING THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
WILL BRING IN ADDITIONAL MOISTURE THAT WILL RESULT IN THE
FORMATION OF SHOWERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO
THE STATE. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH SPOTTY
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON SUNDAY AND WILL
REACH SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT THAT WILL RESULT IN SNOW
LEVELS DROPPING ALL THE WAY TO THE DESERT FLOOR BY MONDAY MORNING.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR QUITE A BIT OF PRECIPITATION AS THE
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVERRUNS THE COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE.

THESE FACTORS CREATE A POTENTIAL FOR A POSSIBLE HEAVY SNOW EVENT
FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS FOR MONDAY. AS MUCH AS
4 TO 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS AND 1 TO 4 INCHES IN THE LOWLANDS
MAY OCCUR. THERE ARE SOME MITIGATING FACTORS THAT MAY PREVENT
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND KEEP FUTURE EVENTS UNCERTAIN. IF TEMPERATURES
DO NOT GET COOL ENOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF A RAIN
SNOW MIXTURE WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION. CHANGES IN THE TRACK
OF THE LOW COULD PLACE THE LOCAL AREA IN A LESS FAVORABLE POSITION
FOR ANY KIND OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. LATER MODEL RUNS WILL
HELP RESOLVE THIS WEATHER SCENARIO FURTHER.